The Elusive Saviours


Chapter 8: Trade and the environment: the transition from GATT to WTO


The Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), concluded in 1993, not only tightened the rules governing trade between nations but also set the tone for environmental policies of national governments. This chapter describes this connection and speculates on the future, when GATT/WTO will explicitly discuss the subject of Trade and Environment in 1995 and beyond.

From GATT to WTO

For fifty years, the GATT has been trying to develop a stable institutional framework for international trade by negotiating the reduction and abolition of measures which obstruct trade between member countries.
On the effect of the GATT agreements on global environmental pollution, opinion is divided between two camps. The first camp argues that the enormous economic growth which GATT will facilitate will be accompanied by an equal rise in world-wide environmental pollution. The second camp argues that economic growth will make funds available for environmental measures so that eventually global environmental pollution will decrease. Both agree that the economic changes the new GATT will cause in certain branches of industry will also bring changes in pollution. Opinions vary as to the significance of these changes for the environment.

The World Trade Organisation (WTO), the 1995 successor to the GATT and executor of the new GATT agreement, will have increased authority to approach players who do not observe the rules. The WTO will also become involved in areas not yet clearly delineated including environmental pollution standards and possibly also social law (for example standards relating to child labour). It is still not clear what the outcome will be of the environmental standards, but the contours are being defined.

Dissatisfaction with the GATT concerning environmental standards

"Environment" is a reasonably new subject in the discussions on world trade. Until 1992, the GATT working group "Environmental Measures and International Trade" lay dormant. The discussion was set in motion after a GATT panel made a judgement in the Tuna-Dolphin case, and after the UNCED environmental summit in Rio de Janeiro. Since then, the environmental working group has worked intensively on preparing an agreement on the treatment of environmental measures within the WTO.


The Tuna-Dolphin case


 This concerned a dispute between Mexico and the United States on the import ban on tuna in the US based on the Marine Mammal Protection Act of 1972, the Dolphin Protection Consumer Information Act of 1990 and the Fisherman's Protective Act of 1967. US fishing boats were given permission by the US to catch yellow tuna in the eastern part of the Pacific Ocean, on condition that the catch include no more than 20,500 dolphins per year. It was forbidden to import of tuna from fishers and countries that do not uphold the conditions of the aforementioned legislation.
In January 1991 Mexico requested GATT to adjudicate this matter. A GATT panel reached its decision in the dispute on September 16th 1991. The US import ban was forbidden. The three most important considerations were:


The tuna-dolphin decision illustrates that the present GATT rules make a strict delineation between import restrictions based on negative environmental effects the product will cause in the importing country (in that case import restrictions are allowed, in principle), and the restrictions to import of products which were produced under circumstances which created environmental damage. This second type is also known as trade restrictions based on the environmental production standards (this trade restriction is not allowed).

GATT and the environment

According to present international rules established in the GATT, a governmental measure to restrict trade, based on environmental considerations, must conform to extremely strict conditions: These restrictions to measures that countries employ to restrict trade using environmental arguments will be increased in the WTO. The unambiguous starting point is that international trade must function with as few restrictions as possible. This will be the principle from which international negotiations within the WTO will take place, on the conditions, including environmental production process standards which may form a legitimation for trade restrictions.

Harmonized international environmental standards and scientific verification

What will the WTO's new environmental agreement look like? Under which conditions will countries be able to preclude the import of goods in which the production process has caused pollution? Considering the increasing unemployment in many industrialized countries it will be easier to find political support for import levies on "dirty" products than for decreasing their own environmental standards or mass lay-offs. Will the WTO allow this?
The GATT's Trade Negotiations Committee released a decision on December 15, 1993 on the starting points and the subjects of, among others, it agenda for trade and the environment. <28>


The working agenda of the Trade Negotiations Committee concerns:

 

 


The discussion has not yet crystallized. The preparatory working group Environmental Measures and International Trade is still acquainting itself with the possible discrepancies between GATT principles and national environmental measures. The negotiations are still to begin and it is not clear where they will lead. The new GATT rules, which are the result of the Uruguay Round discussions on safety and health standards, do however indicate the sorts of discussions and problems we can expect concerning environmental production standards.

Sanitary and phytosanitary measures

This is the heading under which the new GATT will combat trade restrictions imposed by governments with what they call "unfounded" measures concerning the safety of goods for the consumer and the prevention of the spread of animal and plant diseases. The new GATT does not want to prohibit these sorts of measures, even if they restrict trade, but to make them "transparent", and to prevent arbitrary measures. The GATT will encourage governments to base this sort of measure on international standards and codes of behaviour.
The GATT will only allow a country to apply stricter production standards than the internationally accepted standards if the government of that country can support the measure with scientific evidence or with a risk analysis.
These new GATT rules have far-reaching consequences. For example, the fact that governments may only base their import restriction measures on scientific evidence and risk analysis excludes the possibility of restricting imports on non-scientific grounds, such as religion, culture and ethics.
The example of the campaign against Nestlés instant milk powder for babies, and against other manufacturers of milk powder illustrates this. The milk powder itself was scientifically proven to be of good quality, but many of the babies in Third World countries who drank this milk died. They lived in areas which lacked clean water or the facilities to boil the water. In addition, powdered milk advertisements changed the traditional preference for breast feeding to a preference for instant powdered milk. Under the new GATT rules, governments in developing countries will no longer be able to prohibit the import of instant milk powder for babies.

 Because the GATT will only recognize production standards on scientific grounds, the World Health Organization's (WHO) recognized production safety and risk standards are no longer valid. The WHO recognizes that economic and other standards are important aspects of the acceptance of a product in a country. This can be seen in the code developed by the WHO in cooperation with UNICEF against marketing products which replace breast feeding. The new GATT now explicitly refers to two institutions for developing and standardizing internationally recognized scientific product standards: the FAO "Codex Alimentari- us" and the "International Office of Epizootics". Without wishing to cast doubt on the quality of the text of the Codex Alimentarius, it is striking that various sources have accused these two institutions of being strongly influenced by multinational chemical and food corporations. <29>

 Analogous to the example of "Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures", we can expect a strong trend within the Commission for Environmental Measures and International Trade to argue for international harmonization and scientific grounds for pollution standards for manufacturing processes (just as safety and environmental standards for the product required a scientific basis).
With this approach, it will only be possible under certain circumstances for countries to prohibit the import of goods, or impose levies, if these goods are produced under standards less strict than their own. As with product standards, the country wishing to place import restrictions will have to prove scientifically that their own strict process standards are necessary for the protection of their national environment.
From a global environmental perspective, there are two important points to be made on future GATT/WTO rules which will be based on internationally standardized process-pollution standards. The first is a criticism of the content of the approach, the second highlights its possible undesirable environmental effects:

The first criticism indicates that there is consensus in the literature that international harmonization on environmental standards is unnecessary and even undesirable. Countries have different natural resources, environments and different environmental capacities and every country has to balance its environmental and income issues. In formulating the scientific basis for more stringent pollution standards, it is important to take these aspects into consideration. This is no easy task.
Even if we limit the scientific evidence to purely ecological factors, it would be highly contentious for two reasons:

The second criticism of international harmonization and application of production pollution standards in relation to trade restrictions concerns the effect on the environment.
Internationally defined production and product pollution standards can lead to a decrease in global pollution if these are minimum standards and if the minimum standards are not too low, since it will be possible to force countries that have no interest in the environment, or that export environmentally harmful goods, to produce according to the minimum standards on pain of exclusion from world trade. This is why the environmental movement has been campaigning for many years for minimum standards.
The danger is that these minimum standards will be treated as maximum standards, in which case they will be too low. If a country which has above-average pollution standards tries exerting import restrictions on "dirtily produced" products, external sources may put pressure on those standards. The threat of having to provide scientific proof for its more critical process-standards might discourage such a country from applying trade restrictions.

This criticism of the future GATT/WTO rules is from the perspective of the global environment. There are others from the perspective of the economic development of developing countries.
Non-governmental organizations have been campaigning for years for the introduction of global minimum standards in the interest of the environment, social justice and health. The goal was to protect the interests of people and the environment in underdeveloped countries where legal standards were lower or did not exist at all. Representatives of (international) employers organizations, transnational corporations and governments in the developed North have steadily resisted this, arguing that such standards would endanger the stability of the world market and be an unacceptable violation of the sovereignty of national governments. Southern governments which lagged behind in establishing and applying national environmental management (or legislation concerning social justice) easily joined this campaign.
Now that Northern countries increasingly want to influence environmental management outside their own national boundaries, and the harmonization of environmental standards is threatened, the standards in the North will not only, in all probability, be levelled down; in countries which have as yet few regulations concerning the environment and social justice the standards will be levelled up. There is a dichotomy of interests between the North and the South.
The Southern countries now fear trade restrictions on their products as these are being produced under lower environmental standards than the likely world standard. This is unacceptable for these countries as it is the rich countries that are most responsible for the worldwide environmental problem. The problem is clearly outlined in the following quote:

"Trade measures are seldom the best means of approaching an environmental problem", is the opinion of the Dutch government. It is better to get to the core of the problem. It is preferable to transfer technology and money, to positively stimulate more environmentally friendly production and to participate in international consultations. The government does not however exclude the possibility of applying trade sanctions, as a last resort, to punish uncooperative countries, particularly if the interests of the international environment are at stake.
Because it is the rich countries that contribute most to the global environmental problem, it is not right to pass the buck to the poorer countries via trade. The Dutch government agrees with this standpoint. Ideally sanctions against a certain product are compensated through the transfer of technology or money to the supplier. Tragically, in the period since the UNCED environmental conference, the richer countries have kept their purse strings closed. This makes it even more difficult for the poor countries to accept "green protectionism". They will do whatever is in their power to fight environmental demands - or social demands - which damage their competitive position on the market being forced upon them." <30>


Social protectionism


 France and the United States are in favour of the new World Trade Organization (WTO) exploring the issue of social justice, in particular the desirability of developing minimum rules on which trade restrictions can be based. The Third World is unequivocally opposed to this "hidden protectionism" of the rich North, saying it would cut the low-wage countries short and protect their own industry. The ostensible issue is child labour and forced labour.
The European Union is, as usual, divided on this issue. The Netherlands belongs to the camp opposed to the French and US proposals, arguing that we ought not weigh the WTO down with non-trade, sensitive political issues. Belgium supports France. Its Minister for Foreign Affairs R. Urbain proposed in the EU context to provide extra trade advantages to countries with a "good social report". <31>


There is less likelihood that the GATT/WTO discussion will end in a stalemate between Northern and Southern standpoints as happened at UNCED. Rich trading nations dominate negotiations within the GATT/WTO. Moreover each country is likely to be given ample time to grow toward the international harmonized minimum process standards. Whether the global environment will benefit from this depends heavily on the ability of the other countries to maintain and improve their own environmental management.

The position of transnational corporations

If a new GATT/WTO agreement on trade restrictions based on process standards resembles that on product standards, the transnationals will profit most. They can adapt their production installations in the South to the relatively weak international pollution standards, which removes any threat of trade restrictions on their own products. They can then lobby governments in the North to apply import restrictions to "dirtily produced" products from the South and encourage Southern governments to demand a GATT/WTO panel decision on Northern trade restrictions. In this way they can manipulate the GATT/WTO to open the borders in the North and to destroy internal process standards.
Transnational corporations do not need to create new lobbying and negotiating fora for GATT/WTO as they did with UNCED. The path has already been created and there are already openings and lobbying channels to the most important governments.


The influence of the US company lobby concerning trade


 In May 1990, when it looked as though GATT would fail due to the differences between Europe and the United States, a number of leading companies in the US set up the Multilateral Trade Negotiation Coalition (MTN). Companies strongly dependent on international trade such as American Express, General Motors, IBM and Cargill were among the participants. The goal of the coalition was to influence the GATT through determined lobbying. Its success was clear during the July (1990) meeting of the G7, when, after a briefing with the MTN, the Bush government gave the Uruguay round top priority. <32>
There are many other examples of the power of the US company lobby. For example, the US cigarette market declined in the 1980s, while markets in other parts of the world were protected against imports either through monopolies or high imports tariffs. The US government took several South-East Asian governments in hand, threatening unilateral trade sanctions against Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. Those markets were eventually opened, and this led to a tremendous growth in American exports of cigarettes from the large tobacco multinationals (Philip Morris, Reynolds), to the detriment of local producers. <33>
The pharmaceutical industry provides another example. The WHO worked for many years to compile a list of essential medicines which Bangladesh took seriously and banned all unnecessary medicines. The US government threatened to cut food aid if Bangladesh continued to discriminate in this way against the US pharmaceutical industry. <34>


Summary

The environment is a relatively new subject in discussions on international trade. To date, import restrictions on products produced under environmentally hazardous conditions are not allowed under the GATT treaty. But Northern countries are imposing more and more demands on the quality of products (product standards) and on the way in which they are manufactured (process standards). Countries want to be able to refuse products which have dangerous properties and, increasingly, also, those for which the manufacturing process created environmental hazards.
The new GATT has bound import restrictions on products which are dangerous to people and the environment to very strict rules. Within the WTO - the successor to GATT - a working group is currently preparing agreements which make it equally possible to impose, in specific circumstances and according to specific rules, import restrictions on products manufactured under dirty conditions. These new rules may resemble the rules for refusing a product with hazardous properties.
We can expect that the new rules will be based on internationally-agreed pollution standards, and that a product can be refused if it was manufactured under sub-standard conditions. If the manufacturing conditions of a potential import product are, in terms of the environment, lower than a country's own norms but not lower than the agreed minimum, a country will probably not be able to refuse it on environmental grounds unless it can scientifically prove that the country's own stricter production emission standards are necessary to protect its own environment.

Internationally applicable minimum process emission standards can have a positive effect on countries where standards are lower, as these countries will be threatened with trade restrictions. These, however, can have serious consequences for economic development. Countries should be given ample time to be able to meet the minimum standards. Transnational corporations can lobby for trade restrictions on the import of goods produced under polluting circumstances and can at the same time push for a GATT-panel decision against such restrictions, which will effectively put pressure on the stricter standards in the North.


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